Confirm the job flow, ticket mix, and cash burn first. The model only works if you can reach 116 jobs a month, hold a $231 weighted average ticket, and still fund the opening capex and payroll ramp.
1Demand Proof116 jobs/moProve booked demand can reach at least 116 jobs a month before you lock the bay lease, since that is the volume behind the break-even case.
2Ticket Mix$231 WATVerify the blended ticket stays near $231 across all three services, because job volume alone will not cover the plan if pricing slips.
3Service Mix70/20/10Hold Year 1 close to 70% comprehensive diagnostics, 20% pre-purchase inspections, and 10% B2B diagnostics, or the ticket and hour math will drift.
4Margin Load22% revKeep software, tool calibration, training, and online ad spend near 22% of revenue so contribution margin, the cash left after variable costs, stays around 78%.
5Payroll Burn$20.9K/moCheck that $4,000 rent, $500 insurance, and Year 1 payroll of about $13,750 a month still fit the ramp, because the business starts near $20,850 in monthly burn before growth catches up.
6Capex RunwayMonth 18 / $583KVerify scanner coverage, the $60,000 lift and workshop gear, and the rest of the $215,000 capex before you commit, and keep cash for the Month 18 break-even path and the $583,000 low point in Month 19.