Only sign the lease and hire the crew if the pipeline, margin, and cash math already work. This model needs at least 5 weighted jobs a month, about $44.6K of monthly fixed load, and $751K cash by Month 2 to make break-even believable.
1Pipeline5 jobs/moVerify you can hold at least 5 weighted jobs a month before you lock the lease, because that is the demand floor the model uses to reach break-even.
2Fixed Load$44.6K/moCheck that payroll and overhead really land near this number, because rent, insurance, software, vehicles, accounting, utilities, and Year 1 labor must all be covered.
3Margin71% CMKeep contribution margin, or revenue left after variable costs, near 71% in Year 1 by including 14% materials, 10% subcontractors, 3% permitting, and 2% hauling in every estimate.
4Crew Ramp5.5 FTEConfirm you can staff 1 general manager, 1 project manager, 2 lead carpenters, 0.5 designer, and 1 admin, because gaps here slow jobs and push break-even out.
5Cash Buffer$751KHold this cash before ramp-up, since the model’s minimum cash lands in Month 2 and a thin reserve leaves no room for slow starts or rework.
6Launch Spend$45K / $2.5K CACDo not buy vans, tools, or showroom samples until booked work supports capacity and marketing is producing leads at the Year 1 budget of $45,000 with CAC near $2,500.