Test the Year 1 model at about $2.07M in revenue, $74.1K in monthly fixed load, and $1.115M in launch capex before you commit. Month 1 breakeven does not erase the Month 7 cash trough, which bottoms at $618K.
1Revenue plan$2.07MVerify the Year 1 product mix can actually reach this top line, because the model only works if packed red cells, plasma, platelets, cryoprecipitate, and rare typing sell at forecast volume.
2Fixed load$74.1K/moCheck that rent, utilities, insurance, software, marketing, legal, security, cleaning, and payroll fit this monthly burn before you sign the lease.
3Margin cushion84% CMConfirm contribution margin (revenue left after direct costs) stays near this level after kits, reagents, labor, logistics, and sales commissions, because a 10% revenue drop and 5-point margin hit can change payback fast.
4Staffing ramp10.0 FTEMatch hiring to the Year 1 plan of 10.0 FTE (full-time equivalent), or testing delays and overtime will push unit costs above the break-even case.
5Cash trough$618KHold this minimum cash by Month 7 after the $1.115M launch capex stack, or the business can run short before the operating base fully settles.
6Launch volume5,100 unitsVerify the donor, testing, and refrigerated delivery workflow can handle the Year 1 volume before outreach scales, because cold-chain gaps turn demand into spoilage and missed revenue.