Blue Light Glasses Break-Even Revenue: $668K Per Month
The business needs about $668K in monthly revenue to break even under the Year 1 plan Here’s the quick math: $528K fixed monthly costs divided by a 790% contribution margin equals $668K At a $10670 blended AOV, that means roughly 626 orders per month The model shows break-even in Month 14, but the answer changes fast if CAC, returns, payroll, rent, or supplier pricing move
Fixed costs$11.1K/mo
Core overhead
Contribution margin79%
After variable costs
Break-even revenue$66.8K/mo
Monthly target
Break-even timingMonth 14
Model turnpoint
Break-even calculator
Test how monthly revenue, direct costs, and fixed overhead interact to hit break-even for blue light filter glasses sales.
Money available to cover fixed costs$198,878
$245,250 revenue - $46,372 variable expenses
Margin ratio
81%
Covers fixed costs
Yes
Break-even chart Revenue Total costs
Which expenses are fixed and which move with sales in a blue light eyewear break-even model?
Cost classification
Your break-even math gets cleaner when inventory, shipping, ads, payroll, rent, and software sit in the right bucket. Misclassify one big line, and Month 14 break-even can look safer than it is.
Expense
Cost
Break-Even Treatment
Common Mistake
Frame and Lens Manufacturing
Variable
Apply as 10.5% of first-year revenue because it moves with product sales.
Treating the $100,000 initial inventory purchase as simple monthly overhead instead of inventory funding and cash timing.
Custom Packaging Materials
Variable
Apply as 2.5% of first-year revenue and scale it with shipped orders.
Forgetting packaging rises with each order, even when unit pricing improves later.
Fulfillment and Shipping Services
Variable
Apply as 5.0% of first-year revenue because shipping activity follows order volume.
Modeling shipping as flat monthly overhead and overstating margin at low volume.
E-commerce Transaction Fees
Variable
Apply as 3.0% of first-year revenue because fees track paid transactions.
Leaving payment fees out of contribution margin, which makes break-even too low.
Planned Paid Marketing
Semi-variable
Use the $150,000 first-year budget and test it against the $25 customer acquisition cost.
Treating all ad spend as fixed overhead or all as a per-order fee.
Payroll for Operating Team
Semi-fixed
Start with $350,000 per year, about $29,167 per month, then step up as FTE grows.
Scaling payroll smoothly with revenue instead of by hire timing and staffing levels.
Shared Office Space Lease
Fixed
Include $4,500 per month as stable overhead for the relevant planning range.
Spreading rent by order and missing the cash due each month.
Platform, Support Software, Hosting, Insurance, and Legal
Fixed
Include $6,600 per month combined as recurring operating overhead.
Putting recurring software and retainers into variable processing fees.
How does break-even change across lean, base, and full launch setups?
Scenario table
Lean mode trims fixed overhead, so break-even drops fast. Base sits near the line, and the fuller Year 2 setup needs more revenue but gives a wider cushion. No storefront rent is included here.
Planning numbers only; actual break-even will move with traffic, conversion, returns, and ad costs.
Scenario
Monthly Revenue
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
CM Ratio
Operating Profit
Break-Even Signal
Lean ecommerce launch
$56K
$12K
$39K
79%
$5K
Lower overhead gives a clear cushion above break-even.
Base Year 1 launch
$56K
$12K
$44K
79%
$0K
Near break-even; small shifts in ad cost can flip profit.
Full Year 2 scale-up
$117K
$23K
$59K
80%
$34K
Year 2 volume covers the heavier fixed load with room to spare.
What breaks the break-even plan for blue light filter glasses?
Stress test
The base plan has only about a $5K cushion over break-even, so it is fragile. CAC above $25, shipping above 50%, transaction fees above 30%, or new hires before conversion proof can push it into loss fast.
Stress Case
Changed Assumption
Break-Even Revenue
Revenue Gap
Risk Signal
Current plan
No change.
$668K
$5K cushion
Barely above break-even at launch.
Revenue shortfall
Revenue slips 10% from the base plan.
$668K
$67K gap
A 10% sales miss creates about a $53K loss.
Fixed-cost increase
Fixed costs rise 10% to about $580K.
$735K
$62K gap
Extra rent or hires quickly eat the cushion.
Margin pressure
Variable expenses rise 5 points from shipping, fees, or supplier creep.
At $601K revenue, the model is about $135K underwater.
What should you verify before committing to the first lease, inventory buy, and ad scale for blue light glasses?
Founder checklist
Don’t sign the lease, place the first big inventory order, or lift ad spend until the model holds the Year 1 CAC, margin, and cash path. The real test is whether demand can reach Month 14 breakeven without dropping below the $553K cash floor.
1CAC Test$25 CAC
Verify paid channels can stay at or below the Year 1 acquisition cost before you scale spend, because weak CAC breaks the path to breakeven.
2Margin Stack79% CM
Check supplier quotes, shipping, and fees against the Year 1 margin stack so the $85, $145, and $25 price points still cover fixed costs.
3Cash Floor$553K floor
Fund through the Month 13 minimum cash point so inventory, wages, and marketing do not force a stop before breakeven.
4Fixed Load$40.3K/mo
Know the monthly fixed burn before you lock in space or payroll, because the Year 1 base cost already runs about $40.3K a month before the content hire.
5Hire RampMonth 13
Delay the next hire until early demand is proven, since the content creator starts in Month 13 and should follow traction, not hope.
6Launch Prices$85 / $145 / $25
Test customer response to the core price ladder before you raise ad budgets, because pricing sets the revenue per order that funds growth.
Choosing a selection results in a full page refresh.