Do not sign the yard lease or buy the first equipment package until the model can show enough signed or near-signed work to reach about $126K in monthly revenue. The break-even path only works if demand, margin, safety, and crew setup are ready before Month 26.
1Demand Proof$126K/moVerify signed or near-signed plant, contractor, and maintenance leads can cover the monthly break-even revenue before you commit to the yard lease.
2Route Radius10% revVerify the service area is tight enough to keep travel and mobilization near the Year 1 10% revenue assumption, or margin will slip fast.
3Margin Mix71% CMVerify your job mix can sell at the Year 1 ticket sizes of $6.6K, $7.2K, $1.8K, and $1.4K so contribution stays near plan.
4Fixed Load$89.25K/moVerify you can carry rent, insurance, safety, software, utilities, and wages before owner pay, and keep the $462K equipment and setup buy separate from monthly break-even math.
5Cash Cushion-$1.382MVerify you can survive the projected low point in Month 25, because the model does not reach break-even until Month 26.
6Ramp Ready6→12 FTEVerify insurance, gas detection, confined-space gear, and crew scheduling are ready before you scale field staffing, or the launch will choke on unsafe throughput.