Don’t lock in the lease, instructors, or equipment until monthly bookings can reach $45,894, the Year 1 fixed load sits near $37.4K, and cash still holds $840K by Month 2. If those three do not line up, break-even is too fragile.
1Revenue path$45.9K/moConfirm bookings can hit $45,894 a month before lease signing, because that is the minimum path the model needs to clear the fixed base.
2Capacity ramp135 seatsVerify 300 monthly class slots can sell 135 seats at 45% occupancy, and that the Year 1 team can cover that volume without adding labor too early.
3Contribution margin81.5% CMCM, or contribution margin, is what stays after food ingredients, disposables, marketing, and booking fees; at about 81.5%, sales should cover fixed costs cleanly.
4Fixed load$37.4K/moMake sure the $7,500 kitchen lease, $1,500 utilities, and other fixed costs stay near $37,403 a month, since the school carries that load before classes fill.
5Cash reserve$840KHold at least $840,000 by Month 2, because the model’s minimum cash point lands there and the $187,000 startup build still hits before demand settles.
6Launch demand$125 / $75 / $2.0K / $1.0KRun paid pilots at the listed prices to prove class, drop-in, corporate, and private demand before locking marketing spend; if any tier needs discounts, break-even weakens.