EV Charging Infrastructure Break-Even Analysis: Month 13 Target
You need about $82,000/month in break-even revenue for EV charging infrastructure to cover the listed fixed overhead and launch payroll under Year 1 assumptions Here’s the quick math: $68,133 in monthly fixed costs divided by an 83% contribution margin after electricity, demand charges, processing, and sales costs Year 1 average revenue is $66,667/month, so EBITDA is negative at -$244,000, and the model reaches break-even in Month 13 This is before debt service, taxes, and any reserves for major repairs
Fixed costs$68.1K/mo
Year 1 base
Contribution margin83%
After variable costs
Break-even revenue$82.1K/mo
Needed monthly sales
Break-even timingMonth 13
Launch ramp
Break-even calculator
Test how monthly revenue, variable expenses, and fixed costs set break-even for an EV charging network.
Money available to cover fixed costs$196,466
$233,333 revenue - $36,867 variable expenses
Margin ratio
84%
Covers fixed costs
Yes
Break-even chart Revenue Total costs
Which EV charging expenses are fixed, and which move with sales at break-even?
Cost classification
At Month 13 break-even, the model works only if each expense follows the right driver. Keep office overhead fixed, tie transaction items to revenue, and treat demand charges and field staffing as scale-sensitive.
Expense
Cost
Break-Even Treatment
Common Mistake
Office rent
Fixed
Carry $8,000/month through the break-even model.
Scaling rent with charging revenue.
Professional services
Fixed
Include $3,000/month as steady overhead.
Dropping legal and accounting once revenue starts.
Network monitoring software
Fixed
Include $2,500/month to support charger uptime.
Hiding monitoring inside general software.
Electricity
Variable
Use 8.0% of first-year revenue, or $64,000 on $800,000 revenue.
Treating energy usage as fixed site overhead.
Grid demand charges
Semi-variable
Model separately from electricity; first-year assumption is 3.5% of revenue.
Treating demand charges like pure electricity usage.
Payment processing fees
Variable
Apply 2.0% of first-year revenue, or $16,000 on $800,000 revenue.
Forgetting card fees on pay-per-use sessions.
Sales commissions and marketing
Variable
Apply 3.5% of first-year revenue, or $28,000 on $800,000 revenue.
Budgeting marketing as flat while sales ramp.
Field technician payroll
Semi-fixed
Starts Month 13; Year 2 includes 2.0 FTE at $70,000 each.
Smoothing technician hiring as a revenue percentage.
How does break-even change from a lean launch to a base rollout and a full network buildout?
Scenario table
Lean stays short of fixed coverage, base clears break-even, and full rollout creates a wide cushion. The main change is revenue rising faster than payroll and site overhead.
Planning assumptions only; actual site demand, utilization, and staffing can move these break-even points.
Scenario
Monthly Revenue
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
CM Ratio
Operating Profit
Break-Even Signal
Lean launch
$66,667
$11,333
$68,133
83.0%
($20,333)
Still short of fixed coverage until Month 13.
Base rollout
$233,333
$36,867
$95,217
84.2%
$86,917
Break-even lands by Month 13 and Year 2 has room to grow.
What pushes this EV charging network below break-even?
Stress test
Year 1 is already under the line: average monthly revenue is about $66,667 versus roughly $82,100 needed on the base case. Slow utilization, higher grid charges, or Month 13 field staffing can widen that gap fast.
Stress Case
Changed Assumption
Break-Even Revenue
Revenue Gap
Risk Signal
Current plan
No change from the base case.
$82,100
$15,400 gap
Year 1 revenue does not fully cover fixed cost.
Revenue shortfall
Year 1 revenue runs 10% below plan.
$82,100
$22,100 gap
Lower station use pushes the launch period deeper into loss.
Fixed-cost increase
Month 13 field technicians add $11,667 per month.
$96,100
$29,400 gap
Staffing turns a thin launch into a much larger fixed burden.
Margin pressure
Variable expenses rise 2 percentage points to 19% of revenue.
$84,100
$17,400 gap
Utility and payment cost creep erodes contribution fast.
Combined pressure
Year 1 revenue is 10% below plan and Month 13 field staffing starts.
$96,100
$36,100 gap
Weak demand plus added payroll widens burn and delays breakeven.
What should the founder verify before locking the lease and rollout spend for an EV charging network?
Founder checklist
Test the commitment against break-even math before you sign the lease, order hardware, or hire. The model needs about $82.0K in monthly revenue to cover a $68.1K fixed base at an 83% contribution margin, and cash bottoms at -$3.903M in Month 12.
1Demand proof$82.0K/mo
Confirm driver traffic and B2B pipeline can support the break-even run rate before you scale marketing or commit DC fast hardware orders.
2Fixed load$68.1K/mo
Check that lease, office, software, insurance, support, and monitoring costs stay near this base so fixed spend does not outrun early revenue.
3Margin check83% CM
Verify electricity, grid demand, processing, and sales spend stay near 17% of revenue, because this margin funds the Month 13 break-even plan.
4Utility capacity$800K upgrade
Confirm site power can handle the $800,000 electrical upgrade before you lock construction, backup power, or station layout.
5Cash runway-$3.903M
Make sure reserve cash can absorb the Month 12 low point, since the model hits minimum cash of -$3.903 million before breakeven.
6Launch ready$500K build
Prove payment flow and network monitoring first, then spend the $500,000 development budget and add technicians only when uptime and support are stable.
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