Treat this like a go/no-go gate. Break-even shows up in Month 1, but only if rent, staffing, pricing, and launch demand all hold; otherwise the studio can hit a Month 4 cash gap before sales catch up.
1Lease Load$45.3K/moApprove the $12,000 lease only if it still fits inside the $45,317 monthly fixed-cost and payroll base, because rent is already a big part of break-even.
2Demand Proof$56.3K/moConfirm early trial and membership sales can clear about $56,300 in monthly break-even revenue, and keep acquisition spend visible so you know which channels are actually filling classes.
3Margin Floor80.5% CMAt Year 1 pricing and fees, contribution margin is about 80.5%, so any discount has to be paid back with more volume.
4Staffing Ramp1 mgr, 2 trainers, 1 adminBudget one manager, two certified EMS trainers, and one front desk admin before you count profit, since the opening payroll load assumes that coverage.
5Launch Stack$370KFund the $250,000 systems, $120,000 build-out, $500 booking software, and safety setup before opening, because those launch costs sit outside monthly break-even.
6Cash Cushion$665KKeep at least $665,000 ready for Month 4, because the model's minimum cash point lands there even though break-even starts in Month 1.