Do not lock the facility and team until signed or late-stage intent clears the $92K monthly break-even floor and the Year 1 run rate supports about $575K a month. Also make sure you can fund the $835K capex build and still hold the $1.154M cash floor in Month 1.
1Demand cover$92K floorGet signed or late-stage hospital intent that clears the $92K monthly floor, because the Year 1 model assumes about $575K a month and you should not add headcount until that pipeline is real.
2Fixed burn$71K/moCheck that lease, admin, insurance, marketing, software, utilities, and core salaries stay near $71K a month in Year 1, because a higher fixed load raises the sales level you need before the business is safe.
3Margin mix≈65% EBITDAVerify pricing after 4.5% commissions, 3.0% GPO fees, and freight still leaves about a 65% EBITDA margin in Year 1, because hospital accounts get thin fast if the mix slips.
4Capacity ramp8,208/moConfirm the plant, labor, and suppliers can handle about 8,208 units a month, or 98,500 units in Year 1, because orders above that level fail fast if sewing, hardware, or packaging fall behind.
5Cash floor$1.154MHold the $1.154M cash floor in Month 1 and fund the $835K capex build for cutters, sewing, tooling, cleanroom setup, racking, IT, lab gear, and the delivery fleet before you add more spend.
6Supply lockPre-launchLock fabric, hardware, resin, and packaging before large orders, and test QC, sterilization monitoring, and lab validation now, because launch delays turn into idle labor and missed hospital schedules.