Industrial Park Break-Even Analysis: $84K Monthly Revenue Needed
The industrial park break-even revenue is about $84,100 per month under the first-year assumptions Here’s the quick math: fixed monthly costs of $71,083 divided by a 845% contribution margin equals $84,122 The first-year plan averages $350,000 in monthly revenue, so the model clears break-even in Month 1 with roughly $265,900 of monthly revenue cushion before debt service, taxes, reserves, and working capital Occupancy still needs a rent roll test because no square footage or rent-per-square-foot assumption is provided
Fixed costs$71.1K/mo
Year 1 base load
Contribution margin84.5%
After variable costs
Break-even revenue$84.1K/mo
Monthly target
Break-even timingMonth 1
Launch month
Break-even calculator
Use this calculator to test monthly revenue against variable costs and the fixed monthly cost base.
Money available to cover fixed costs$1,758,533
$2,016,667 revenue - $258,133 variable expenses
Margin ratio
87%
Covers fixed costs
Yes
Break-even chart Revenue Total costs
Which industrial park operating expenses are fixed, and which move with occupancy or sales?
Cost classification
Break-even is reliable only when fixed costs stay fixed and deal-linked fees scale with revenue. Here, $24,000/month of office overhead is fixed, while leasing, brokerage, legal, and permitting fees should flex with sales activity.
Expense
Cost
Break-Even Treatment
Common Mistake
Office Rent
Fixed
Carry $10,000 per month from Month 1 through Month 60, regardless of lease-up pace.
Reducing rent when revenue misses plan.
Corporate Insurance
Fixed
Carry $3,000 per month as base overhead in the monthly break-even floor.
Treating insurance as tied to tenant occupancy.
Management Payroll
Semi-fixed
Model staffing in steps, rising from $565,000 in the first year to $910,000 in Year 5.
Spreading payroll as a flat percentage of revenue.
Brokerage & Sales Commissions
Variable
Apply 5.0% in Year 1, stepping down to 3.0% by Year 5 as revenue scales.
Forgetting commissions on property sales gains.
Marketing & Leasing Commissions
Variable
Apply 6.0% in Year 1, stepping down to 4.0% by Year 5 with leasing volume.
Budgeting one flat monthly amount during lease-up.
Legal & Transaction Fees
Variable
Apply 3.0% in Year 1, declining to 1.5% by Year 5 as deal volume matures.
Putting all legal spend in the fixed retainer line.
Project Specific Permitting Fees
Variable
Apply 1.5% in Year 1, rising and then falling to 1.2% by Year 5.
Ignoring permits when development activity accelerates.
Tenant Reimbursed Site Operating Items
Semi-variable
Tie usage-driven site items to occupancy, with reimbursements rising from $200,000 in Year 1 to $2,800,000 in Year 5.
Treating reimbursements as pure profit instead of margin support.
How does break-even shift from lean launch to full stabilization?
Scenario table
Even the lean case covers fixed costs in the opening month; the real question is how much cushion lease-up adds. Here’s the quick math: variable costs drop from 15.5% of revenue in the lean case to 9.7% in the full case.
Planning case only. These figures are model assumptions, not a guarantee of lease-up, rent, or margin.
Scenario
Monthly Revenue
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
CM Ratio
Operating Profit
Break-Even Signal
Lean launch case
$350K
$54.3K
$71.1K
84.5%
$224.7K
Covers fixed costs in the opening month, but the buffer is the smallest.
Base lease-up case
$2.02M
$258.1K
$95.7K
87.2%
$1.66M
Covers fixed costs in the opening month with a solid buffer.
Full stabilized case
$4.23M
$410.6K
$99.8K
90.3%
$3.72M
Covers fixed costs easily, so break-even risk is low.
What pressures can break the industrial park break-even plan?
Stress test
At about $350,000 a month of first-year revenue, the plan clears the roughly $84,100 break-even line. The cushion gets thinner if lease-up slows, fixed costs rise, or tenant reimbursements recover less cleanly.
Stress Case
Changed Assumption
Break-Even Revenue
Revenue Gap
Risk Signal
Current plan
No change.
$84,100
$265,900 cushion
Strong cushion at the base case.
Revenue shortfall
Lease and sales revenue run 25% below plan.
$84,100
$178,400 cushion
Slower lease-up still clears operating break-even.
Fixed-cost increase
Fixed monthly costs rise 20% to about $85,300.
$101,000
$249,000 cushion
Higher overhead pushes the break-even line up fast.
Margin pressure
Contribution margin falls from 845% to 750%.
$94,800
$255,200 cushion
Weaker margins make each delay in leasing hurt more.
Combined pressure
Revenue is 25% below plan, fixed costs rise 20%, and margin stays at 750%.
$113,700
$148,800 cushion
Slower lease-up and cost creep can cut cushion sharply.
What should you verify before you commit land spend on an industrial park?
Founder checklist
Do the park assumptions hold before you buy land and start build-out? For this model, the deal only works if preleases, site access, staffing, and cash line up with the $84.1K monthly break-even and the $911K minimum cash need in Month 1.
1Preleases$84.1K/mo
Verify signed preleases and letters of intent can support at least $84.1K a month, because that is the break-even revenue line.
2ZoningEntitled site
Confirm zoning and entitlement status before any land spend, because site control without use rights can stop the project cold.
3UtilitiesSite-ready
Confirm utility access, road access, and drainage scope before build-out, because missing site work turns budget and timing into guesses.
4Fixed load$71.1K/mo
Make sure Year 1 fixed costs land near $71.1K a month, including the $3,000 insurance line, so the rent roll can clear it.
5Cash cushion$911K
Check that you can fund the Month 1 minimum cash need of $911,000, or lease-up risk can hit before revenue does.
6Hire rampMonth 13
Hold the analyst hire and the leasing team ramp until preleasing is real, so payroll and the $225,000 capex plan don't outrun demand.
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