Don't scale spend until you can show 590 paid visits a month at a $98.50 blended ticket and carry about $47.6K in monthly fixed cost. Year 1 break-even lands by Month 3, so the real test is demand, route coverage, and cash through Month 2.
1Demand floor590/moCheck that bookings can hit 590 paid visits a month before you buy more ads or add more routes, because that is the Year 1 break-even load.
2Blended ticket$98.50Use the Year 1 mix to confirm the weighted ticket from hair, makeup, nails, and $15 add-ons, because a small ticket drop pushes the visit target up fast.
3Fixed load$47.6K/moThe Year 1 fixed stack is about $47.6K a month, so do not lock in more staffing or office spend until bookings cover that base.
4Unit margin82% CMHold commissions at 12%, product and consumables at 4%, and payment fees at 2%; that leaves about 82% contribution to pay fixed cost.
5Capacity gate50/dayMake sure one team can really handle 50 visits a day inside a tight travel radius, or you will hire before the work is full.
6Cash cushion$797KHold about $797K through Month 2, confirm insurance for client-location work, and test booking, deposits, cancellations, and card payment flow before the first marketing push.