Don’t lock in the full fleet, payroll, or marketing spend until nearby demand, pricing, and CAC match the model. This plan needs booked routes to outpace fixed costs before cash gets tight.
1Demand Proof2.0 hrsVerify enough nearby repeat work to keep each van busy and keep CAC near $75 before you spend the full $50K Year 1 marketing budget.
2Fixed Load$31.2K/moCheck that monthly rent, insurance, software, utilities, admin, and Year 1 payroll can fit under this load without pushing break-even too far out.
3Pricing Mix72.5% CMValidate $60 one-time, $80 subscription, $20 add-on, and $70 fleet pricing only if the Year 1 cost stack stays near 27.5% of sales.
4Staffing Ramp3.0 FTEMatch technician hiring to booked service hours, not hope, because Year 1 starts with 3.0 technician FTE and early labor can outrun demand.
5Cash Buffer$93K minKeep at least the modeled cash floor through Month 30, since breakeven lands in Month 31 and a smaller reserve leaves no cushion for slow ramps.
6Launch Stack$181K capexStage the vans, equipment, inventory, app, website, leasehold work, collateral, and hardware carefully, and confirm supply, water handling, booking flow, and insurance before first paid routes.