Before you sign the rent and buy the machines, verify that order flow, pricing, and staffing can support break-even by Month 2. Year 1 volume is 6,500 units and blended order value is about $84, so the launch test is whether real orders show up fast enough.
1Order Flow542/moCheck that live orders can reach the Year 1 target, because 6,500 units a year only works if demand shows up fast enough to hit break-even by Month 2.
2Fixed Burn$27.1K/moConfirm the monthly fixed load from rent, utilities, software, marketing, insurance, maintenance, and payroll can be covered before you lock in the $3,500 studio lease.
3Margin Stack$75/orderVerify the blended order still leaves about $75 after materials, packaging, payment fees, and commissions, because that is what funds the fixed burn.
4Stitch Capacity1.0 FTEProve the digitizing workflow and the lead technician can handle opening demand before you add payroll, since extra labor goes straight into fixed cost.
5Cash Cushion$1.158MKeep the modeled minimum cash on hand ready, because Month 2 is the low point and startup outlays include $25K of machinery plus $12K of initial materials.
6AOV Mix$84 AOVTest whether sweatshirts, tote bags, polo shirts, baby blankets, and corporate hats can really hold an average order value near $84, since the revenue plan depends on that mix.