Don’t commit until the space, staffing, billing, and referral flow can support the Year 1 model. If any one of those slips, the clinic can miss break-even even when demand looks fine on paper.
1Fixed load$77.9K/moVerify the lease and full fixed base, including $7,500 rent and Year 1 payroll, fit inside the monthly load; if the room plan is too tight, break-even moves out fast.
2Visit flow570/moCheck that referral sources can reach 570 completed monthly visits, not just the 329 launch volume, because break-even only works on visits that are actually billed and collected.
3Margin mix84.5% CMConfirm the first-year mix still leaves about 84.5% contribution margin after 2.0% supplies, 4.0% billing fees, 8.0% patient acquisition marketing, and 1.5% electronic health record (EHR) fees.
4Staff ramp6 OT + 2 assistMake sure you can staff 6 occupational therapist FTE and 2 OT assistant FTE in Year 1 while holding payroll near $66,667 per month, or capacity will cap before demand does.
5Capex fund$165KFund the full $165,000 build-out, equipment, furniture, IT, security, signage, and software package before opening, because partial setup burns cash without adding billable visits.
6Cash floor$90K, Month 37Keep at least $90,000 of cash through Month 37, since that is the model low point and a slower billing cycle or delayed credentialing can eat the cushion quickly.