Don’t sign the lease until demand, class economics, and opening cash all clear the model. For this studio, the break-even test is whether bookings, staff, paper, and booking flow can all hold together before Month 1 overhead starts.
1Demand proof$197K/moProve the calendar can sell about $197K a month before you commit, because that is the demand level that makes the lease feel safe.
2Fixed load$15.9K/moVerify the fixed load is about $15.9K a month before owner pay, because rent, utilities, insurance, software, cleaning, and wages all hit before growth does.
3Ticket margin80.5% CMCheck that paper, packaging, ads, and booking fees still leave about 80.5% contribution margin, because that is what funds the lease and staff.
4Staff ramp1.0 / 1.5 / 0.5 FTEMake sure the manager, lead instructor, and assistant can cover 22 billable days at 45% occupancy in Year 1 and still scale to 60% in Year 2.
5Launch build$65.2KLock buildout, furniture, shelving, hardware, website, signage, and specialty paper sourcing before you publish classes, because launch capex totals about $65.2K.
6Cash floor$891KSet booking and payment flow before launch and keep Month 1 cash above the $891K minimum, because that is the model’s lowest point.