Payroll And HR Services Break-Even: $1095K Monthly Revenue
A payroll and HR services business needs about $1095K in monthly recurring revenue to break even under the Year 1 assumptions Here’s the quick math: $821K fixed monthly costs ÷ 75% contribution margin = $1095K break-even revenue Variable expenses are 25% of revenue, including hosting, third-party processing, sales commissions, and onboarding At a Year 1 blended monthly client value of about $1,220, that means roughly 90 client accounts before operating profit turns positive The model reaches break-even in Month 20, with minimum cash of negative $190K in Month 19
Fixed costs$69.6K/mo
Base overhead
Contribution margin75%
After variable costs
Break-even revenue$92.8K/mo
Needed monthly sales
Break-even timingMonth 20
Model break point
Break-even calculator
Use this calculator to test how monthly revenue, variable expenses, and fixed costs stack up against break-even for payroll and HR services.
Money available to cover fixed costs$75,000
$100,000 revenue - $25,000 variable expenses
Margin ratio
75%
Covers fixed costs
Yes
Break-even chart Revenue Total costs
Which payroll and HR service expenses stay fixed, and which move with sales?
Cost classification
Break-even is only reliable if fixed overhead is separated from revenue-linked delivery work. Here’s the quick math: fixed overhead is $9.8K/month, Year 1 salaries are about $59.8K/month, and variable delivery items total 25% of revenue.
Expense
Cost
Break-Even Treatment
Common Mistake
Office rent, utilities, professional services, compliance, software, benefits administration, security audits, and supplies
Fixed
Model as $9.8K per month from Month 1 through Month 60.
Treating every software line as usage-based.
Year 1 core salaries
Fixed
Model as about $59.8K per month for the CEO, product lead, developer, HR lead, sales manager, and half-time marketing role.
Excluding payroll from break-even overhead.
Cloud hosting and infrastructure
Variable
Apply 7% of revenue in the first year, falling to 3% by the fifth year.
Locking hosting into one flat monthly amount.
Third-party API and payment processing fees
Variable
Apply 5% of revenue in the first year, falling to 1% by the fifth year.
Missing per-client and payment-volume fees.
Sales commissions
Variable
Apply 8% of revenue in the first year, falling to 4% by the fifth year.
Counting commissions as fixed sales payroll.
Customer success and onboarding work
Variable
Apply 5% of revenue in the first year, falling to 1% by the fifth year.
Treating all support labor as fixed overhead.
Account executive and customer support hires after launch
Semi-fixed
Add capacity in steps: both roles start in Month 13 and rise as the client base grows.
Spreading future hires evenly across all months.
Compliance review and onboarding workload
Semi-variable
Keep the base compliance budget fixed, but allow extra review and setup work to rise with client volume.
Ignoring usage spikes when larger clients onboard.
How much monthly revenue does payroll and HR services need to break even as it moves from lean to base to full?
Scenario table
As staffing, marketing, software, and client support scale, fixed costs rise, so break-even revenue moves up even when the margin mix improves. Lean is the easiest launch case; full needs the biggest recurring book.
Planning assumptions only; actual break-even will move with client mix, pricing, and onboarding load.
Scenario
Monthly Revenue
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
CM Ratio
Operating Profit
Break-Even Signal
Lean launch plan
$1,095K
$274K
$821K
75%
$0
Lowest overhead, so launch risk is easier to control.
Base recurring plan
$1,437K
$301K
$1,136K
79%
$0
Best middle case for repeatable sales and steadier break-even coverage.
Full-scale service book
$2,046K
$348K
$1,698K
83%
$0
Highest break-even target, so it only works with a larger recurring book.
What pushes this payroll and HR services plan past break-even?
Stress test
The plan is fragile to slower sales, higher support work, and fixed-cost creep. A 10% revenue miss or a 10% fixed-cost hike can erase the Year 1 cushion, and margin pressure from onboarding or compliance labor makes the gap wider.
Stress Case
Changed Assumption
Break-Even Revenue
Revenue Gap
Risk Signal
Current plan
No change from Year 1 assumptions.
$1.095M
$0 gap
No cushion at all.
Revenue shortfall
Revenue is 10% below plan at about $985K.
$1.095M
$82K gap
A small sales miss creates an $82K gap.
Fixed-cost pressure
Fixed costs rise 10% to about $903K.
$1.204M
$82K gap
A higher overhead base pushes break-even later.
Margin pressure
Variable expenses rise to 30% of revenue.
$1.173M
$55K gap
More onboarding, software, or compliance work cuts the margin cushion.
Combined pressure
Revenue falls 10%, variable expenses rise to 30%, and fixed costs rise 10%.
$1.289M
$213K gap
Slow sales and higher costs together create the largest miss.
Can this payroll and HR business reach break-even before you lock in heavier hiring and spend?
Founder checklist
Yes, but only if you can show near-signed clients for about 90 accounts at a blended $1,220 a month. Keep Year 1 variable costs near 25%, hold the fixed load near $69.6K a month, and wait on new hiring until demand repeats.
1Pipeline Proof$109.8K/mo
Verify signed or near-signed clients can reach about 90 accounts so first-year revenue can cover the operating base.
2Margin Mix75% CM
Keep COGS and variable costs near 25% of revenue, because that leaves about 75% contribution to pay fixed costs.
3Fixed Load$69.6K/mo
Check that wages plus overhead stay near this monthly burn, or break-even gets pushed out fast.
4Service Capacity90 accounts
Make sure onboarding and customer success can handle about 90 client accounts before you add account executive or support headcount.
5Cash TroughMonth 19
Hold enough cash for the Month 19 low point of negative $190K, since breakeven arrives at Month 20.
6CAC Check$2.0K CAC
Test whether the $150K Year 1 marketing budget can buy enough customers at this acquisition cost before you scale spend.