A US physical rehabilitation center in this model needs about $354k in monthly patient revenue to break even in the first year Here’s the quick math: fixed monthly overhead is about $305k, variable expenses are 14% of revenue, so contribution margin is 86% At planned first-year volume, the center generates about $323k from 236 monthly visits, leaving a roughly $27k monthly operating gap The model reaches break-even in Month 13, with Year 1 EBITDA of -$59k and Year 2 EBITDA of $223k
Fixed costs$30.5K/mo
Year 1 base
Contribution margin86%
Left after variable
Break-even revenue$35.4K/mo
Monthly target
Break-even timingMonth 13
Cumulative flip
Break-even calculator
Test how monthly revenue, variable expenses, and fixed costs shape break-even for a physical rehabilitation clinic.
Money available to cover fixed costs$47,988
$55,800 revenue - $7,812 variable expenses
Margin ratio
86%
Covers fixed costs
Yes
Break-even chart Revenue Total costs
Which physical rehabilitation expenses stay fixed, and which move with treatment volume?
Cost classification
A rehab center’s Month 13 break-even is only useful if rent, staff steps, supplies, and billing fees are split correctly. Blend them into one overhead bucket, and the model hides the real volume needed to cover monthly cash burn.
Expense
Cost
Break-Even Treatment
Common Mistake
Facility Lease
Fixed
Carry $10,000 per month from Month 1 through Month 60 before counting treatment margin.
Treating rent as if it falls when patient visits slow.
Insurance Premiums
Fixed
Include $2,000 per month as a base operating expense in every break-even month.
Spreading it across visits and making low-volume months look safer than they are.
EHR Software Subscription
Fixed
Use the $800 monthly subscription as fixed clinic overhead, not a per-treatment fee.
Loading software into each visit and overstating variable expense.
Medical Supplies
Variable
Model at 5.0% of first-year revenue, then use the forecast rate for later years.
Holding supplies flat even as treatment volume and revenue grow.
Therapy Consumables
Variable
Apply 3.0% of first-year revenue because bands, wraps, and similar items move with sessions.
Bundling consumables into facility overhead instead of visit-driven expense.
Billing and Collection Fees
Variable
Use 4.0% of first-year revenue, since collections activity rises with billed treatments.
Mixing billing fees with admin salaries and missing margin drag as volume scales.
Utilities
Semi-variable
Start with the $1,500 monthly baseline, then review usage as hours, rooms, and equipment use rise.
Assuming every dollar is fixed when longer clinic hours can push usage up.
Receptionist
Semi-fixed
Model $35,000 annual salary by full-time equivalent; staffing steps from 1.0 to 2.0 FTE in Year 4.
Treating front-desk labor as one blended overhead bucket with therapist capacity.
How does break-even move from a lean rehab clinic to a larger, fully staffed center?
Scenario table
Lean keeps the clinic close to the line because fixed overhead is high versus revenue. By the base plan, revenue clears break-even, and the fuller setup adds a much wider cushion.
Planning assumptions only; actual results will vary with payer mix, visit fill, and staffing speed.
Scenario
Monthly Revenue
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
CM Ratio
Operating Profit
Break-Even Signal
Lean launch clinic
$323k
$45k
$305k
86.0%
-$27k
Still below break-even; the monthly gap stays tight.
Base Year 2 clinic
$655k
$88k
$346k
86.6%
$221k
Above break-even; the clinic starts building a real cushion.
Full Year 4 center
$1,524k
$180k
$476k
88.2%
$868k
Well above break-even; fixed costs are spread much wider.
What happens to break-even if visits slow or costs run hot?
Stress test
The plan is tightest if referrals slow, reimbursement slips, or therapist time goes unused. A 10% revenue miss, higher fixed overhead, or rising variable cost can turn a thin first-year gap into a cash problem.
Stress Case
Changed Assumption
Break-Even Revenue
Revenue Gap
Risk Signal
Current plan
No change.
$350,000
$27,000 gap
There is little cushion in year one.
Revenue shortfall
Revenue falls 10% to $291,000.
$350,000
$55,000 gap
Weak referral flow widens the funding need.
Fixed-cost pressure
Fixed overhead rises by $50,000.
$412,000
$77,000 gap
Higher lease or staffing cost pushes breakeven out.
Margin pressure
Variable expenses rise from 140% to 170%.
$360,000
$37,000 gap
Lower reimbursement and unused therapist capacity cut margin fast.
Combined pressure
Revenue falls 10%, fixed overhead rises $50,000, and variable expenses rise to 170%.
$437,000
$114,000 gap
Hiring ahead of visits and weak volume can blow up cash needs.
Can you prove demand, staffing, and cash runway before you sign the rehab clinic lease?
Founder checklist
Only move ahead if the referral flow, buildout spend, and launch setup can carry the clinic to Month 13 break-even. At 236 planned monthly visits versus 259 break-even visits, the margin for error is thin.
1Referral pipeline236 vs 259
Verify signed referrals and local demand can cover the 23-visit monthly gap before you take on the $10,000 lease.
2Fixed load$30.5K/mo
Check that the $16.3K facility stack plus about $14.2K a month in Year 1 wages still fits the visits you can realistically book.
3Margin mix86% CM
Keep medical supplies, therapy consumables, billing fees, and transportation near 14% of revenue so each visit still carries an 86% contribution margin.
4Buildout spend$125K
Stage the equipment and setup budget across therapy tables, exercise equipment, bikes, weights, ultrasound machines, computers, furniture, room setup, security, and initial supplies.
5Staff ramp40%-65%
Confirm therapist hiring by specialty and credentialing can hit the Year 1 capacity bands without leaving rooms and staff underused.
6Launch runwayMonth 13
Make sure billing, EHR workflow, and launch month readiness are live so cash collection starts on time and reserves can last to break-even.