Don’t lock in the lease or add staff until booked demand, billing flow, and cash runway clear the Year 1 model. You need about 319 sessions a month to cover overhead, versus about 262 booked sessions a month in Year 1, so the gap is real.
1Demand proof319 vs 262/moVerify referral sources and intake volume can add about 57 booked sessions a month, because Year 1 modeled demand is about 262 sessions and break-even needs about 319.
2Monthly load$54.6K/moCheck that rent, utilities, software, insurance, and payroll can fit a $54.6K monthly load, including $4,000 rent and about $48.96K in wages.
3Fee drag13% variableKeep payment processing, EHR transaction fees, marketing, and referral costs near 13% of revenue so contribution stays around 87% before fixed costs.
4Workflow setupPre-launchSet documentation, scheduling, and EHR workflows before the first client so notes and billing do not slow collections or create rework.
5Staff ramp0.5 FTETest whether the therapist mix can carry individual, couples, family, child adolescent, and later group sessions before you add nonessential hiring, especially billing support.
6Cash runway$666K minHold cash for the Year 1 EBITDA loss of $208K and the $666K minimum cash point in Month 24; keep the $49K startup build separate and watch Month 14 as the first break-even checkpoint.