Use this check before you lock the lease, order the machine, or hire ahead of revenue. The model only works if Year 1 demand, payer rates, staffing, and cash all hold while you carry a Month 6 trough of -$942K.
1Referral load1,370 tx/moConfirm the referral pipeline can fill about 1,370 treatments a month at the Year 1 mix of 350 IMRT, 180 SBRT, 320 IGRT, 400 palliative care, and 120 brachytherapy.
2Payer rates$1.2K-$3.5KVerify payer setup before you assume the Year 1 prices of $1,200 IMRT, $3,500 SBRT, $1,100 IGRT, $800 palliative care, and $2,800 brachytherapy.
3Contribution margin82% CMCheck that medical supplies, software, marketing, and claims still leave about 82% contribution margin, because that margin has to cover fixed costs and wages.
4Fixed burn$59.0K/moLock the monthly fixed load at about $59.0K from lease, equipment service, liability coverage, utilities, IT, and maintenance before you commit to buildout.
5Staff ramp6 core rolesConfirm recruiting for the medical director, physicist, dosimetrist, oncology nurses, patient navigator, and administrator is tied to machine readiness, not hired early.
6Cash troughMonth 6: -$942KFund the Month 6 cash trough before launch, because the project can show profit later and still fail if buildout cash runs out first.