Test the lease, staffing, inventory, and cash plan against the model's Month 26 break-even. If the store cannot carry about $12.7K of monthly fixed load and survive to the $701K cash trough in Month 25, the commitment is too early.
1Lease test$151K/moKeep the rent commitment only if traffic and margin can support the model's $151k monthly break-even revenue, not just the $3,500 base rent.
2Fixed load$12.7K/moCheck that rent, utilities, insurance, software, repairs, and supplies stay at about $12.7k a month before labor, because that is the recurring bill you must beat.
3Margin mix84% CMVerify the Year 1 product mix and variable costs together, because the model's 16% variable load leaves about 84% contribution margin before fixed costs.
4Hiring rampMonth 13-25Delay the technician until Month 13, the second associate until Month 18, and marketing until Month 25 unless sales can already fund those wages.
5Cash runway$701KHold enough cash to reach the Month 26 break-even point, because the model bottoms near $701k in Month 25 before EBITDA turns positive.
6Launch setup$67K setupFund the opening stock, shelving, POS, security, furniture, signage, software, and service tools, and make sure the POS and inventory flow can track 45% electric scooters, 25% kick scooters, 20% accessories, 8% replacement parts, 2% service, and a 4.5% visitor-to-buyer rate from day one.