Don't sign the lease or buy gear until you can support about $616K in monthly revenue and still keep at least $240K of cash through Month 17. Breakeven lands in Month 18, so the early burn has to fit the runway.
1Demand proof$616K/moVerify bookings and partner leads can reach this revenue level before you commit, because the model does not break even until Month 18.
2Fixed load$41.4K/moCheck that Year 1 rent, software, legal, supplies, utilities, cybersecurity, accounting, analytics, and core wages fit this burn, or cash pressure rises fast.
3Order margin$18.65/orderOn the Year 1 weighted mix, a $91 order brings about $18.65 in commission revenue and leaves about $7.28 after order-linked costs, so the take rate has to hold.
4Gear cycle$8K test gearMap cleaning, inspection, repair, retirement, and storage rules before you buy more inventory, because rental wear and loss can wipe out margin fast.
5Hiring rampMonth 25+Keep staffing tight until repeat rentals prove demand, since the model delays the next full-time role until Month 25 and adds more later in Month 37.
6Cash floor$240KHold at least this much cash through Month 17, because that is the model low point before breakeven in Month 18.