Soccer Club Break-Even Analysis: $577K Monthly Revenue Target

Break-Even Metric Cards

Fixed costs $473.4K/mo overhead + payroll

Contribution margin 71.5% after variable costs

Break-even revenue $662K/mo monthly target

Break-even timing Month 15 forecast payback

Break-Even Calculator

Break-even calculator

This calculator tests monthly revenue, variable expenses, and fixed monthly costs against break-even for a soccer club.

Lean Base Full

Monthly revenue Revenue gives you the pool that covers direct costs and overhead. $ Low sales High sales Variable expenses Use direct costs that move with sales, like match ops, travel, and product costs. $ Lean costs Heavy costs

Money available to cover fixed costs $598,458 $656,250 revenue - $57,792 variable expenses

Margin ratio

91%

Covers fixed costs

Yes

Fixed monthly costs This is the monthly cost base the club must cover even if revenue slows. $ Low overhead High overhead

Break-even chart Revenue Total costs

Which soccer club expenses are fixed and which move with attendance and sales?

Cost classification

Break-even is only reliable if fixed overhead, roster commitments, and sales-linked costs are separated. With break-even in Month 15, misclassifying payroll or game-day costs can make the cash low point in Month 24 look safer than it is.

Expense	Cost	Break-Even Treatment	Common Mistake
Stadium Lease Payment	Fixed	Treat the $100,000 monthly lease as overhead before any ticket, concession, or parking profit is counted.	Signing the lease before ticket demand is proven.
League Affiliation Fees	Fixed	Include the $25,000 monthly fee in the fixed overhead base for every break-even month.	Leaving league fees outside break-even because they are not tied to match attendance.
Team Insurance	Fixed	Treat the $8,000 monthly premium as required coverage that must be paid even in low-attendance months.	Calling insurance optional when cash gets tight.
Base Field Maintenance	Fixed	Use the $10,000 monthly amount as baseline venue spend before adding any attendance-driven match costs.	Tying all field maintenance to attendance instead of keeping a base facility load.
Team Payroll	Semi-fixed	Treat first-year wages of $3.845 million as roster and staff commitments that step up as full-time headcount grows.	Scaling payroll ahead of revenue and assuming it flexes down like a variable expense.
Merchandise Cost of Goods	Variable	Apply the first-year 6.0% rate against merchandise sales volume, not total club revenue.	Using gross merchandise sales as margin and skipping product costs.
Concession Product Costs	Variable	Apply the first-year 4.0% rate against concession transaction volume as attendance rises.	Counting concession revenue without the food and beverage product load.
Game Day Operations	Variable	Apply the first-year 5.0% rate with match activity and attendance, especially when crowd size changes.	Assuming sold-out games cost the same to run as low-attendance games.

How does break-even change from lean launch to base and full operating cases?

Scenario table

Lean still burns cash, base is almost at the line, and full gives a real cushion. The fixed stadium and payroll load is what makes Year 2 the key break-even check.

Planning assumptions only; actual results will move with match sales, sponsorship timing, and payroll.

Scenario	Monthly Revenue	Variable Costs	Fixed Costs	CM Ratio	Operating Profit	Break-Even Signal
Lean launch case	$472,083	$134,667	$473,417	71.5%	-$136,000	Still below break-even; cash burn stays heavy.
Base case	$656,250	$173,583	$483,417	73.6%	-$750	Nearly at break-even; Month 15 is the crossover point.
Full mature case	$909,583	$222,583	$515,083	75.5%	$171,917	Above break-even with a clear operating cushion.

What breaks the soccer club’s break-even plan first?

Stress test

The club’s Year 1 monthly revenue is about $472K, below a roughly $577K break-even point. Sponsor delays, softer ticket sales, or higher travel and wage costs can stretch the gap fast and push cash toward the Month 24 low.

Stress Case	Changed Assumption	Break-Even Revenue	Revenue Gap	Risk Signal
Current plan	No change.	$577K/month	$105K gap	Year 1 revenue still sits below break-even.
Revenue shortfall	Year 1 revenue runs 10% below plan, to about $425K per month.	$577K/month	$152K gap	Sponsor delays or weak presales widen the hole.
Fixed-cost rise	Monthly fixed costs and payroll rise 10%, to about $521K.	$635K/month	$163K gap	Lease and payroll inflation push breakeven higher.
Margin pressure	Variable costs rise from 18% to 20% of revenue, cutting contribution margin from 82% to 80%.	$592K/month	$120K gap	Travel and wage pressure squeeze the margin.
Combined pressure	Revenue is 10% below plan, variable costs rise to 20%, and fixed costs rise 10%.	$651K/month	$226K gap	All three hits can push cash toward the Month 24 low.

Can a soccer club clear break-even before locking in the stadium lease?

Founder checklist

Test the lease and payroll against Year 1 demand, sponsor cash, and launch spend before you commit. With Year 1 EBITDA at -$1.632M and break-even in Month 15, the club needs strong ticket sales, sponsor wins, and tight overhead control to stay upright.

1Ticket demand90,000 tickets

Confirm Year 1 ticket sales can hit 90,000 before signing the $100K monthly stadium lease, because gate sales anchor the model.

2Sponsor pipeline$500K

Lock in enough corporate sponsorship pipeline to actually deliver the $500K Year 1 target, or cash starts under strain.

3Other income$350K

Verify broadcast rights, venue rental, and youth academy plans can reach the $350K Year 1 total, since that income helps cover fixed costs.

4Fixed overhead$153K/mo

Stress test the $153K monthly fixed overhead before you hire hard, because lease, league, staff, and field costs hit every month.

5Payroll ramp$3.845M/yr

Approve payroll only after the $3.845M Year 1 wage load is funded and the assistant coach plan can move from 2.0 to 3.0 FTE without breaking cash.

6Launch cash$1.085M capex

Finish ticketing, merch, concessions, parking, insurance, and registration before launch month, and keep the $1.085M capex and the -$1.863M Month 24 cash trough covered before adding discretionary marketing or inventory.