Stroke Rehabilitation Break-Even: About $106K Monthly Revenue
A stroke rehabilitation center breaks even when monthly contribution margin covers fixed monthly costs Using the first-year assumptions, planned revenue is about $889K/month, variable expenses are about $138K, and contribution margin is 845% With fixed costs of about $894K/month, break-even revenue is about $1058K/month The model reaches break-even in Month 14, after a Year 1 EBITDA loss of $303K
Fixed costs$18.3K/mo
Base overhead
Contribution margin84.5%
After variable costs
Break-even revenue$21.7K/mo
Revenue needed
Break-even timingMonth 14
Model break-even
Break-even calculator
This calculator tests whether monthly revenue covers variable expenses and the fixed cost base.
Money available to cover fixed costs$180,909
$210,850 revenue - $29,941 variable expenses
Margin ratio
86%
Covers fixed costs
Yes
Break-even chart Revenue Total costs
Which stroke rehabilitation expenses are fixed, and which move with treatment volume?
Cost classification
Break-even works only if fixed overhead, visit-linked fees, and hiring steps are separated. For this clinic, therapist payroll and revenue-based fees drive the biggest swing in Month 14 break-even risk.
Expense
Cost
Break-Even Treatment
Common Mistake
Therapist Payroll
Semi-fixed
Model by full-time equivalent hiring steps, starting with 2 physical therapists, 2 occupational therapists, 1 speech therapist, and 1 neuropsychologist in the first year.
Treating all clinical payroll as visit-level labor.
Facility Lease
Fixed
Use $12,000 per month from Month 1 through Month 60 in monthly break-even overhead.
Spreading facility build-out into monthly rent.
Third-Party Medical Billing Services
Variable
Apply 6.0% of first-year revenue, then step down to 4.0% by the mature year.
Ignoring denials, delays, or collection leakage.
Clinical Supplies
Variable
Apply 3.0% of first-year revenue, falling to 2.0% as purchasing scale improves.
Budgeting supplies as a flat monthly line.
Specialized Therapy Materials
Variable
Apply 1.5% of first-year revenue, falling to 1.0% by the mature year.
Missing therapy-specific materials in gross margin.
Electronic Health Record (EHR) & Patient Management Software
Fixed
Use $1,000 per month as recurring operating overhead.
Linking the full software fee to each visit.
Utilities
Fixed
Use $1,500 per month for the relevant planning range.
Scaling utilities in direct proportion to visits.
Marketing & Referral Incentives
Variable
Apply 5.0% of first-year revenue, declining to 3.0% as referral flow improves.
Treating acquisition spend as fixed overhead.
How does break-even change from lean setup to full scale in stroke rehabilitation?
Scenario table
Break-even improves fast as therapist load rises and fixed costs get spread over more visits. Lean Year 1 still runs short, Year 3 has clear cushion, and Year 5 is well above break-even unless reimbursement per session slips.
Planning cases only; actual results will move with payer mix, visit volume, and reimbursement per session.
Scenario
Monthly Revenue
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
CM Ratio
Operating Profit
Break-Even Signal
Lean Year 1
$889K
$138K
$894K
84.4%
-$143K
Still below break-even, so every added visit matters.
Base Year 3
$2,869K
$367K
$1,511K
87.2%
$991K
Clear cushion, with fixed-cost spread doing the work.
What breaks first if referrals slow or payroll runs hot for a stroke rehabilitation clinic?
Stress test
At the Year 1 run-rate, the model is close enough to break-even that small misses matter. Here’s the quick math: about $889K of revenue against $894K of fixed costs leaves a roughly $169K gap, and a 10% miss can widen it fast.
Stress Case
Changed Assumption
Break-Even Revenue
Revenue Gap
Risk Signal
Current plan
No change.
$1.06M
$170K gap
Near break-even, so volume must hold.
Revenue shortfall
Revenue falls 10% from slower referrals and weaker collections.
$1.06M
$258K gap
Slow referrals can push the clinic deeper into loss.
Fixed-cost pressure
Fixed costs rise 10% from higher payroll and overhead.
$1.16M
$276K gap
Higher staffing cost can erase the Year 1 cushion.
Margin pressure
Variable expense rate rises from 15.5% to 18.5%.
$1.10M
$210K gap
Denials and weak collections cut contribution fast.
Combined pressure
Revenue falls 10%, fixed costs rise 10%, and variable expense rate rises to 18.5%.
$1.21M
$407K gap
One bad quarter can turn the plan deeply negative.
Can this stroke rehab clinic carry the lease, staffing, and equipment load before you commit?
Founder checklist
Before you sign the lease or buy equipment, prove referrals can fill the Year 1 schedule and cover the fixed load. The model needs $227K of cash, breaks even in Month 14, and only pays back in 38 months.
1Referral flow670/mo
Track referral sources until the opening pipeline can support 670 monthly treatments, because that is the demand base behind the Year 1 schedule.
2Fixed load$18.3K/mo
Before signing the lease, prove the clinic can carry $18.3K a month in fixed costs, including $12K rent from Month 1.
3Margin mix84.5% CM
Keep variable costs near 15.5% of revenue so contribution margin, or cash left after variable costs, stays near 84.5% before payroll and rent.
4Core staffing2-2-1-1-1 FTE
Validate enough referrals to support 2 physical therapists, 2 occupational therapists, 1 speech therapist, 1 neuropsychologist, and 1 rehab aide before buying the equipment.
5Cash cushion$227K cash
Hold at least $227K in cash, because the model bottoms out in Month 13 and only reaches breakeven in Month 14.
6Build-out phase$345K staged
Stage the $150K build-out, $80K gait system, $70K robotic arm, and $45K therapy gym before marketing spend so you do not lock in fixed cost ahead of referrals.
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