Test the demand, mix, and margin math before you sign the $8,000 rent and buy the first machines. This plan needs about $795k a month in revenue, so the proof has to come from real orders and cost quotes, not wishful volume.
1Demand proof$795K/moVerify the order pipeline can reach about $795k in monthly revenue before you lock the lease, because that is the break-even bar the fixed cost base has to clear.
2Order mix64.5K unitsVerify Year 1 demand can really reach 5,000 trophies, 8,000 plaques, 20,000 medals, 1,500 crystal awards, and 30,000 ribbons, because that mix is what turns the forecast into cash.
3Fixed load$64.7K/moCheck that the $8,000 rent plus payroll and overhead create about $64.7k of fixed monthly load, because the business has to fund that burn before growth kicks in.
4Margin81.5% CMVerify the mix still leaves about 81.5% contribution after unit inputs, shipping, and commissions, because break-even gets pushed out fast if discounting eats the spread.
5Price test$120 / $80 / $15 / $250 / $5Test quotes at $120 trophies, $80 plaques, $15 medals, $250 crystal awards, and $5 ribbons, because the model only works if buyers pay those prices without heavy markdowns.
6Ramp gate$75K + $40KLock supplier pricing for ribbons at $0.60 and crystal awards at $31, then hold the $75,000 engraving machines, the $40,000 inventory buy, and the full $620k Year 1 payroll until volume supports the step-up; the cash trough hits $1.156M in Month 2.