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How Much New Car Dealership Owners Typically Make

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Key Takeaways

  • New car dealership profitability scales rapidly, projecting EBITDA growth from $129 million in Year 1 to $324 million by Year 3.
  • Despite a significant initial $920,000 capital expenditure, the business model demonstrates an exceptional projected Return on Equity (ROE) reaching 17725%.
  • The core drivers of dealership income are high sales volume and maximizing high-margin Finance & Insurance (F&I) products, averaging $1,900 per unit sold.
  • Operational profitability is achieved almost immediately, breaking even in the first month, provided fixed overhead costs, including substantial base wages, are tightly managed.


Factor 1 : New Vehicle Sales Volume


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Volume Targets

Scaling from 300 units in 2026 to 660 units by 2028 is defintely required. This growth tier unlocks critical manufacturer incentives and directly fuels high-margin Financing and Insurance (F&I) revenue streams necessary for strong cash flow.


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Volume Drivers

Sales volume directly scales your most profitable ancillary revenue streams. F&I product revenue, projected at $1,900 per sale unit in 2028, depends entirely on hitting unit targets. You need accurate forecasts for units sold multiplied by the expected penetration rate to model gross profit accurately.

  • Units sold drive F&I dollars.
  • Target $1,900 per unit in 2028.
  • Lower volume misses incentive tiers.
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Margin Efficiency

While volume drives incentives, margin efficiency ensures those sales are profitable. The Vehicle Acquisition Cost needs to drop from 120% of cost in 2026 down to 110% by 2028. Focus on strong manufacturer relationships to secure better pricing as you scale up your order density.

  • Cut acquisition cost to 110%.
  • Higher volume justifies better dealer terms.
  • Avoid overpaying for aged inventory.

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Fixed Cost Leverage

Reaching 660 units spreads your $900,000 annual fixed overhead thinner, improving operating leverage. If facility costs alone are $45,000 monthly, hitting 660 units ensures fixed costs are covered by sales volume long before F&I revenue kicks in fully.



Factor 2 : F&I Product Penetration


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F&I Profit Leverage

F&I revenue is the purest form of gross profit because it carries no associated inventory cost, directly bolstering owner cash flow. By 2028, hitting the target of $1,900 per unit sold means this high-margin stream significantly outweighs the drag from capital-intensive new vehicle acquisition costs.


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Volume Dependency

This profit stream scales directly with volume, not inventory turns. To realize the projected $1,900 per unit in 2028, you need to sell 660 units that year, generating $1.25 million in F&I gross profit. You must track attachment rates closely to ensure customers buy these add-ons.

  • Calculate total F&I potential: Units Ă— $1,900
  • Focus on product mix, not just volume
  • Avoid lagging on backend product training
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Maximizing Attach Rates

Because your staff is salaried, product knowledge replaces commission pressure as the primary driver for penetration. Train specialists to clearly explain the value of service contracts or protection plans. If onboarding takes 14+ days, churn risk rises, so speed matters here defintely.

  • Ensure product education is thorough
  • Keep F&I paperwork fast and clear
  • Bundle high-value items upfront

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Cash Flow Shield

F&I revenue acts as a critical shield against high fixed costs, like the $45,000 monthly facility payment. Unlike vehicle gross profit, which gets eaten by floor plan interest and acquisition costs, F&I drops nearly untouched to your cash flow. That’s why this penetration goal is non-negotiable.



Factor 3 : Inventory Acquisition Efficiency


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Margin Boost From Buying Smarter

Improving inventory acquisition efficiency directly boosts profitability. The Vehicle Acquisition Cost drops from 120% in 2026 to 110% by 2028. This 10-point improvement means you keep more gross profit dollars from every new car sale, which is defintely key.


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Defining Acquisition Cost

Vehicle Acquisition Cost shows what you pay for inventory relative to its selling price. You estimate this using the invoice cost paid versus the expected gross profit realization after incentives. This cost is the single biggest driver of your gross margin efficiency in vehicle sales.

  • Invoice cost paid to manufacturer.
  • Holdback received post-sale.
  • Volume-based incentives secured.
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Driving Cost Down to 110%

Hitting that 110% target requires maximizing manufacturer support as you scale. Since volume grows from 300 units to 660 units, focus on hitting tier thresholds early. Don't leave money on the table by missing incentive targets or paying too much for floor plan financing.

  • Maximize manufacturer volume bonuses.
  • Negotiate better floor plan rates.
  • Turn inventory faster to reduce carrying costs.

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Efficiency Funds Overhead

This efficiency gain is crucial because it directly impacts the bottom line before overhead hits. If you hit 110% acquisition cost while growing volume to 660 units, you generate significantly more gross profit to cover fixed overhead, like that $45,000 monthly facility cost.



Factor 4 : Service and Parts Utilization


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Service as Margin Floor

Service and parts create necessary margin stability when vehicle sales slow down. By 2028, projecting 6,000 service hours at $150/hour and 3,000 parts units sold delivers high-margin recurring revenue. This income stream smooths out cyclical dips in new car transactions, which is critical for cash flow planning.


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Estimating Service Revenue Potential

To project this recurring revenue, you need hard data on capacity utilization and pricing power. Service revenue relies on tracking billable hours against technician capacity, while parts revenue depends on inventory turnover and attachment rate to service jobs. You defintely need to model technician efficiency closely.

  • Hours billed per technician per month.
  • Average billed labor rate (target $150/hour).
  • Parts gross margin percentage (target 40%+).
  • Units sold forecast (target 3,000 units in 2028).
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Optimizing Service Yield

Maximizing service revenue means driving utilization and increasing the average ticket size. Focus on converting warranty work into billable customer-pay jobs and ensuring parts inventory supports quick turnarounds. High utilization is key to covering fixed facility costs.

  • Increase technician utilization above 85%.
  • Boost service absorption rate (service covering fixed costs).
  • Improve parts inventory accuracy to reduce stockouts.

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Service as Margin Insurance

Service revenue acts as your operational insurance policy. If vehicle sales miss targets by 10% in any given quarter, the steady $12,500 monthly service gross profit (based on 2028 projections) provides a predictable floor under your operating income.



Factor 5 : Sales Commission Structure


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Commission Rate Trend

Sales Commissions and Bonuses are projected to fall from 30% of total revenue in 2026 to 26% by 2028. This decrease shows operational leverage kicking in. As your sales volume grows from 300 to 660 units, the existing fixed sales team handles more transactions without a proportional rise in variable compensation costs.


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Commission Calculation Inputs

This cost covers Sales Commissions & Bonuses, a variable expense tied directly to gross revenue from new vehicle sales, F&I, and trade-ins. To model this, you need projected total revenue and the expected commission percentage applied to that top line. For example, $10M in 2026 revenue means $3M in commissions at the initial 30% rate. It’s defintely a direct flow-through cost.

  • Revenue projection by year
  • Target commission rate (%)
  • Total annual commission dollars
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Driving Efficiency Down

The planned reduction to 26% relies on maximizing sales staff output against fixed base salaries. If your sales staff compensation is fixed, higher volume means the cost per unit sold drops significantly. Avoid setting commission tiers that incentivize high-volume selling at the expense of F&I product attachment rates, which are crucial profit drivers.

  • Maintain salaried base structure
  • Focus on unit density per rep
  • Ensure F&I advice aligns with volume

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Leverage Point

The 4-point drop in commission percentage between 2026 and 2028 is the financial proof that scaling volume absorbs fixed sales overhead effectively. This efficiency gain is critical since total fixed overhead, excluding base wages, runs $900,000 annually.



Factor 6 : Fixed Overhead Control


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Control Fixed Base

You face $900,000 in annual fixed overhead before counting base salaries. Controlling the big fixed items, like the $45,000 monthly facility lease, directly sets your margin floor. If that facility cost spikes, your break-even point moves defintely.


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Overhead Inputs

This $900,000 figure covers non-wage fixed expenses needed to run the dealership infrastructure. The primary input is the facility cost, quoted at $45,000 per month, which accounts for $540,000 annually. You must track this against projected sales volume to see coverage.

  • Facility lease: $45k/month
  • Annual fixed total: $900,000
  • Excludes base wages
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Facility Cost Levers

Since the facility cost is 60% of the total overhead (540k/900k), aggressive management here yields the biggest return. Focus on renegotiating lease escalators now before volume hits targets. Avoid signing long-term commitments without clear exit or renegotiation clauses.

  • Review lease escalation clauses
  • Benchmark facility cost per unit sold
  • Lock in utility rates early

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Margin Stability Check

Every dollar saved on that $45,000 monthly facility payment drops straight to the bottom line, improving your operating leverage instantly. This large fixed base must be covered before any vehicle sale generates true gross profit.



Factor 7 : Capital Investment and Leverage


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Finance CAPEX Wisely

Financing the $920,000 infrastructure CAPEX demands efficiency; the 17725% ROE signals excellent equity returns, but you must actively manage the floor plan debt service against monthly cash flow.


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Infrastructure Investment Detail

The $920,000 initial CAPEX covers the state-of-the-art showroom build and necessary IT infrastructure. This estimate relies on construction quotes and technology procurement costs needed before opening. This investment is the foundation supporting the first 300 unit sales goal in 2026.

  • Covers facility build-out costs.
  • Includes dealership software setup.
  • Must be secured before operations start.
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Controlling Debt Load

Optimize financing by separating long-term asset debt from short-term inventory debt. Since the ROE is high, securing favorable, long-term debt for the $920k is better than using high-cost equity. Watch the floor plan interest rate closely, as that directly eats operating margin.

  • Seek long-term, fixed-rate debt.
  • Avoid using working capital for CAPEX.
  • Benchmark floor plan rates regularly.

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Leverage Risk Check

The 17725% ROE relies on capital efficiency; structure the $920,000 debt to have minimal impact on early cash flow. High floor plan servicing costs can quickly erode the benefit of high asset returns, so we need to defintely model stress cases on debt covenants.



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Frequently Asked Questions

Owner income is highly variable, but strong performance can generate EBITDA of $129 million in the first year, growing to over $32 million by Year 3 This cash flow determines the owner's salary and distributions after debt service and taxes are paid