Treat this as a cash-and-demand test. If you can fund the Month 2 cash trough, carry the fixed load, and see real cover counts before Month 3, the opening is ready.
1Lease Load$10.8K/moVerify rent and base overhead fit the first-year sales plan, because this fixed cash burn starts before the dining room does.
2Cash Cushion$784KConfirm you can carry the Month 2 cash low before launch, or the model runs out of room before break-even.
3Opening Spend$228KFund the full buildout, not just the kitchen: equipment, furniture, renovations, POS hardware, website work, and smallwares all hit before revenue.
4Launch Demand770/wkProve the first year can reach 770 weekly covers, with Friday through Sunday carrying 500 covers and most of the weekly revenue.
5Labor Ramp$31.1K/moMatch staffing to the plan: 1 manager, 1 head chef, 2 line cooks, 4 server-baristas, and 1 dishwasher in Year 1.
6Menu Pricing$22/$32Hold midweek checks at $22 and weekend checks at $32, while food stays near 10% of sales and beverages near 4%; that is the margin base behind Month 3 break-even.