Before you commit, prove the shop can hit 22 paid orders a month at about $1,126 each without breaking the margin or cash plan. Keep one-time equipment out of break-even math, and don’t add staff until backlog supports it.
1Paid Orders22 orders/moConfirm you can book at least 22 paid orders a month at about $1,126 each, or the lease will outrun the demand.
2Shop Overhead$6.7K/moCheck that rent, utilities, hosting, insurance, photography, and design software stay near the modeled $6.7K monthly load before labor.
3Margin Lock69-73% CMLock acrylic, glass, hardwood, mounting board, hardware, and archival pricing, and set deposits before buying specialty materials.
4Staffing Ramp1.0 + 1.0 FTEKeep the team at owner plus one apprentice until backlog supports more payroll, and verify the shop can handle oversized jerseys, heirlooms, and protected storage.
5Cash Cushion$1.19MHold the model’s $1.19M minimum cash in Month 1 so early capex and payroll do not force a bad trade-off.
6Lead TimesMonth 2Test wedding keepsake and military case turnaround before launch, then price rush jobs separately so Month 2 break-even stays realistic.