Trampoline Park Break-Even Analysis: About $101K Monthly Revenue

Fixed costs $92.1K/mo Overhead and base labor

Contribution margin 91% Sales kept after variable

Break-even revenue $101.0K/mo Cover point

Break-even timing Month 1 Launch month

Break-even calculator

Use this to test monthly revenue, variable expenses, and fixed costs against break-even for a trampoline park.

Lean Base Full

Monthly revenue Revenue is the cash coming in each month before fixed bills. $ Slower month Peak month Variable expenses These direct costs rise with traffic and sales volume. $ Tighter spend Higher spend

Money available to cover fixed costs $277,528 $292,000 revenue - $14,472 variable expenses

Margin ratio

95%

Covers fixed costs

Yes

Fixed monthly costs These are the monthly bills break-even has to cover. $ Lean overhead Heavier overhead

Break-even chart Revenue Total costs

Which indoor jump facility expenses are fixed, variable, or step up with sales?

Cost classification

Break-even only works if rent, insurance, staffing, and sales-linked spend are separated. Here, payroll steps up with traffic, so don’t bury staffing inside ticket margin.

Expense	Cost	Break-Even Treatment	Common Mistake
Facility Rent	Fixed	Use $25,000 per month in the fixed overhead base.	Treating rent as lower when visits miss plan.
General Liability Insurance	Fixed	Use $7,000 per month as a stable operating charge.	Spreading insurance across tickets and hiding fixed risk.
Utilities	Fixed	Use the source case amount of $4,000 per month unless usage data supports a traffic-linked split.	Calling all utilities variable without meter evidence.
Payroll	Semi-fixed	Use about $53,000 per month in the first year, then step up staffing as volume rises.	Burying staff inside ticket margin instead of modeling headcount.
Marketing & Advertising	Variable	Model as sales-linked spend using the first-year rate of 4.0%.	Leaving marketing fixed while visits depend on paid demand.
Cleaning Supplies	Variable	Model as traffic-linked spend using the first-year rate of 1.5%.	Ignoring higher supply use when visits increase.
Concessions Cost	Variable	Match the direct concession input to concession sales volume.	Mixing food margin into admission ticket economics.
Grip Socks Cost	Variable	Match sock input spend to grip sock sales volume.	Treating socks as overhead instead of per-sale spend.

How does break-even change as the park moves from a lean opening to a full operating case?

Scenario table

Lean is close to break-even because revenue only just clears fixed rent and payroll. As traffic and party bookings rise, the fixed-cost load gets easier to cover and the monthly cushion grows.

Planning assumptions only; actual traffic mix, party demand, and staffing use can move results.

Scenario	Monthly Revenue	Variable Costs	Fixed Costs	CM Ratio	Operating Profit	Break-Even Signal
Lean opening case	$145.4k	$12.8k	$92.1k	91.2%	$32.3k	Near break-even; one weak month can erase the cushion.
Base ramp case	$216.7k	$18.4k	$91.1k	91.5%	$88.2k	Healthy cushion if traffic and party bookings hold.
Full stabilized case	$293.7k	$22.9k	$106.1k	92.2%	$149.6k	Strong cushion, but only if staffing stays in line with demand.

What breaks the break-even plan for a trampoline park?

Stress test

The base plan has a wide cushion, but it gets thin if weekend traffic slows, party bookings miss plan, or rent, insurance, and payroll reset higher. A 10% revenue dip still clears break-even; a 20% dip or a 10% cost bump cuts the buffer fast.

Stress Case	Changed Assumption	Break-Even Revenue	Revenue Gap	Risk Signal
Current plan	No change; Year 1 monthly revenue stays at $1.454M.	$101,000	$1,353,000 cushion	Strong headroom, so fixed cost control still matters.
Revenue shortfall	Year 1 monthly revenue falls 10% to about $1.309M.	$101,000	$1,208,000 cushion	Still clears break-even, but the cushion is smaller.
Fixed-cost pressure	Fixed monthly costs rise 10% to about $1.013M.	$111,000	$1,343,000 cushion	Rent, insurance, or payroll resets push the bar up.
Margin pressure	Contribution margin falls 3 points to 88.2%.	$104,000	$1,350,000 cushion	Lower mix or higher variable costs tighten the buffer.
Combined pressure	Revenue drops 20%, fixed costs rise 10%, and margin falls 3 points.	$1,149,000	$14,000 cushion	Almost no room for weak weekends or party slippage.

What should you verify before you sign the lease for a trampoline park?

Founder checklist

Run the opening plan against rent, insurance, staffing, and cash before you commit. If first-year traffic and party bookings cannot cover the fixed load and the Month 4 cash dip, the launch is too early.

1Lease Load$25K/mo

Confirm the rent fits the first-year traffic plan, because this fixed cost has to clear before profit shows up.

2Insurance$7K/mo

Verify general liability insurance is available at the modeled cost, since the park cannot open without coverage.

3Fixed Burn$92.1K/mo

Make sure booked traffic can cover the full monthly fixed load after variable costs, or the break-even math breaks.

4Demand Proof50k / 600

Check that local demand can support 50,000 admissions and 600 birthday parties in year one, not just walk-in hopes.

5Staffing Ramp7 / 3 / 2

Staff for safety and peak sessions with 7 trampoline monitors, 3 party hosts, and 2 front desk FTE in year one.

6Cash & CapexMonth 4 / -$465K

Keep cash ready for the modeled Month 4 low point and lock the roughly $1.558M build-out and systems spend before work starts.